Hello Friends,
A new friend is heading my way on buses, and things go wrong. Should we get upset? Will that change anything? No, and no. My education in the Army and Civilian schools emphasized adaptability and flexibility. How do we think and even think outside the box? Blind adherence to a plan that isn't working as expected will not get the job done. I learned an anecdote while in the Army about a mobile missile site that moved and was set up twice and did not function as expected. Another crew member was brought in and discovered that the original staff had made the same cable mistake twice. The new crew did not rely on anything but their judgment and experience and loved the problem. So when I discover a challenge, what is the first thing I do? I wiped away all preconceived ideas, started a new evaluation, and selected an option that may not have been the usual approach, but I discovered it worked.
Many may think mathematics is cut and dry with only one solution to a problem. Not so. Enter an algorithm:
What is the probability of an algorithm?
In algorithmic information theory, algorithmic probability, also known as Solomonoff probability, is a mathematical method of assigning a prior probability to a given observation. It was invented by Ray Solomonoff in the 1960s. It is used in inductive inference theory and analyses of algorithms.1" . . . Formally, the probability � is not a probability and it is not computable. It is only "lower semi-computable" and a "semi-measure". By "semi-measure", it means that 0<∑��(�)<1 . That is, the "probability" does not actually sum up to one, unlike actual probabilities. This is because some inputs to the . . . "
Simply put theory isn't perfect and we must find a solution using observation, trial and error and even creative though. A negative connotation for some is "fudge factor."2
2 Dictionary Definitions from Oxford Languages · Learn more
fudge fac·tor
/fəj ˈfaktər,ˈfaktôr/
nounINFORMAL a figure included in a calculation to account for error or unanticipated circumstances, or to ensure a desired result.
"the market soon recognized the fudge factor, half a point tacked on for the drought effect.
Use your mind and make it work.
1 https://shorturl.at/duzMU
